#What to believe
14-May-94 17:22:21
Sb: #145461-#What to believe
Fm: Russell Williams 72672,2260
To: Alex Baker 75606,563
Even outside of the Amiga market, there is some perception that the Amiga's
major weakness was the company behind it. My favorite example of this was an
article in a mainstream computing magazine called "Amiga: The computer that not
even Commodore could kill." Also, for a large company, the price to buy the
Amiga is chump change compared to its potential. While it's easy to be
pessimistic about the odds of someone buying and continuing the Amiga line,
there are in fact several strong reasons why this would be interesting to
another company.
The Amiga market is a very viable market. There are 5 million Amigas in the
world, extrapolate maybe 3.5-4 million still in use (use defined as the main
desktop system for a user). Even with the admittedly large caveats of lack of
hard drives and processor speed, that's a big market to develop for.
Obviously, in relation to DOS/Windows, it's nothing, but what about compared to
OS/2? WP and other large companies have OS/2 products out there, and OS/2 has
far less users than the Amiga.
"But wait" you say, "OS/2 is used more by businesses as opposed to home users,
and therefore has a greater revenue/product ratio." That's true, business will
typically pay a higher average price per package. But look what's happened in
the PC market. Borland started a trend which still hasn't really stopped, and
that is selling software that's priced in the home user's budget range instead
of the typical business. Suddenly, software can sell in both the business
environment and the home environment. Recognizing this, both Microsoft and
WordPerfect have started home consumer lines, in addition to their discounted
business/productivity packages. MS's line of consumer product is doing
extremely well. What this all boils down to is that it is no longer critical
to be in the business market while the home consumer market, the Amiga's home
(especially so overseas, less so domestically), is becoming much more
important.
Another reason is that there won't be another opportunity (in the foreseeable
future) to get into the platform game. The Amiga has (I believe) enough
critical mass in terms of users and software to make it a viable system to
compete with Macs and PCs. Without a huge technology breakthrough, I cannot
imagine someone successfully launching a new computer platform. If you want to
be in that game, your only choice is the Amiga.
Finally, the emerging European market has great potential for the Amiga.
Europe is becoming progressively stronger as a market, especially in light of
emerging free-market ecoomies. They need computers, but they don't have a lot
of hard credit to buy them with. The Amiga 1200 is perfectly poised to take
advantage of this market, whereas the price point is so sensitive that the Macs
and PCs can't reasonbly compete. This, in my mind, is the strongest reason to
continue to push the Amiga line.
-Rusty Williams
"It's 1/8 full, I tell you!"