#Future of DTV?
07-Apr-95 14:29:06
Sb: #4374-#Future of DTV?
Fm: Data Translation 73370,613
To: Timothy Liebe 73373,3347
Tim—
Our continuing dialogue re. Luther inspires me to send you a piece I recently
wrote. Sorry about the length…I'd love to see this published on conventional
4-color magazine paper someday,complete with images…
Here goes…
Towards a Historical Appreciation of the Promise of
Digital Media
By: Patrick Rafter
Digital Evangelist
Data Translation
To look to the future of digital media, it is perhaps best to look back, to
know which way is forward.
The "Information Soup" (a highway is too linear) of tomorrow is the unplanned
product of the evolution of communications technologies and the forces that
have used and been used by them, ever since cavemen drew their first paintings
at Lascaux. The evolution of the media into tools for personal empowerment is a
recent, ongoing phenomenon that has its roots in the illuminated manuscripts of
the monks in the latter days of the Fifteenth Century.
1464
The Beginning of Mass Media
In the Middle Ages-a the principal mass medium (TEXT) was controlled by a small
segment of the total population. This early intelligensia consisted almost
exclusively of the Church, Academia, and Royalty.
This "Group of Three" alone had access and control of the means of
Learning READING
Creating WRITING
Distributing PRINTING
Communicating IDEAS………………in the form of TEXT.
These three influencers defined organized thought and communicated in a
uni-directional format to those who could read-and most could not. Printing,
the means of expression-was only possible for those who owned a printing press,
or owned the people who owned the press.
Gutenberg's printing press liberated thousands of copyists from tedious labor
but the process of printing required skilled operators using expensive, bulky
equipment.
1790-1890
The Beginning of Popular Communications
This is the century of revolution in Europe and the Americas. In documents from
Candide to Tom Paine's Letters, from the Declaration of Independence to
Darwin's Origin-the written word is a source of inspiration for democracy, free
speech, new social orders and controversial theories, challenging the precepts
of organized religion, the scientific communities, and despotic monarchies.
1900
The Peak of Text
Text has reigned supreme as the primary communications medium for 400 years.
Now reading and writing are skills shared by a majority of the population in
industrialized countries, evidenced in universal letter writing. Print is
widespread and through newspapers, pulp magazines and pocketable books
distribution of printed words is both portable and affordable.
Small presses proliferate covering subjects of interest to the general public;
electric lighting making the task of composition easier on the eyes. All these
forces combine to illustrate that text now allows bi-directional communication
and spreads the intellectual commerce of adolescent democracies and market
economies. Text informs, educates and entertains.
In the meantime, motion pictures are emerging as a new form of entertainment.
1964
The Peak of Television
Just 60 short years after the turn of the century, electricity has
revolutionized communications. Not only do electric powered presses facilitate
mass distribution of printed words, but electricity in every home enables
television- motion pictures now inform and educate, as well as entertain. A
worldwide TV audience for Kennedy's funeral demonstrates the tremendous
emotional power of video.
A new "Group of Three" controls what people think: NBC, CBS, ABC.
Information distribution over the airways remains unidirectional and video has
begun to replace print as the primary medium of communication, yet not of
expression.
1994
The Peak of Video
Just 30 years later-video has beginning to evolve into a two-way medium, as did
print before it. This is made possible with the advent of technologies and
forums for communications:
*Videotape and the low-cost videotape recorder
*Portable, hand help video cameras
*CNN
*MTV
*CableTV
*"America's Funniest Home Videos"
*Computer-based video systems
With the arrival of these new technological tools, the electronic democracy was
born.
Tinanmen Square, Rodney King and S-VHS coverage of the Persian Gulf war are but
the first examples of the symbolic power of video images, produced and
distributed by individuals, not by the broadcast "Group of Three" or the U.S.
Government.
The Marxian maxim about alienation from the means of production takes on a new
meaning in our "Third Wave" information is power economy!
In our nascent electronic democracy, the means of communication and expression
are not controlled, they are shared:
Learning Reading and Watching
Creating Writing and Producing
Distributing Printing and Broadcasting
Henceforward, VIDEO will be used increasingly as a two-way forum, instead of as
an escape for couch potatoes. But video is just another step in the evolution
of enabling technology.
2000
The Post Video Era: A Digital World
"Video" will be dead before we know it. In its place will be completely
interactive,
all-digital world where:
1) A convergent shift to digital technology among the telecommunications,
computer, consumer electronics, and media publishing industries will enable
an inter-mediary exchange of anything which can be stored in digital
form…text…computer code… full-motion video…CD-quality audio.
Binary code will be the lingua franca of the modern, post-nationalist
world.
0101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101010101
2) Easy-to-use, innovative software will enable non-professionals to
create professional quality video. Today's broadcast television and Hollywood
studio- based film industries have lost their creative zest as job functions
became compartmentalized and unionized workers were restricted in what they
could do.
Virtual Hollywood is being built today, in individuals' homes.
The modern Renaissance Woman now has unfettered access to digital tools to
create anything her mind imagines.
Ironically the last Los Angeles earthquake may turn out to be a blessing in
disguise as people will opt to remain at "Home Suite Home" and telecommute on
the Electronic Superhighway instead of fighting traffic on the Santa Monica
Freeway.
Others will stay home in droves, in Boston, Omaha, Berlin and Osaka.
Later in Moscow, Peking, Kigali.
The typewriter let anyone be a printer.
Digital video lets anyone be a Capra, a Murrow, even a Geraldo!
3) Digital video production will be simplified as the number of necessary
equipment components will decrease and miniaturization will fit the power of a
conventional video studio onto a desktop, ultimately a portable computer.
Expert systems, video templates, clip video libraries (with liberal content
reproduction rights) will simplify the process, broadening the number of
pro-sumers of video.
Desktop publishing did this for print production in 1985.
We used to go to the studio-now it comes to us.
4) The Movie Theatre/Studio are one. With broad-band communications technology
and a fiber-optic infrastructure enabling distribution of digital content from
your home or office to mine: the traditional barriers of media production and
dissemination are lowered.
The digital "airwaves" will become the virtual marketplace, where digital
products are bought, sold and bartered.
Creators of content will embrace these new ways to share their property or
disappear.
Recall, before the information superhighway, the barons of railroad business
mistakenly thought they were in the railroad business, not the transportation
business. They were then eclipsed by a national highway system.
Their misperception is a lesson that the telephone companies, cable and
broadcast television stations, and publishers must note or pay the
consequences.
This time around-the consumer will have more say in what may come to pass.
Digital: The First Live Medium
Ultimately digital communications have the promise to:
Entertain,
Inform,
Educate,
Enlighten,
Empower…
in a way that text frozen on a page,
or advertising-sponsored, mass-market homogenzied broadcast-television
never, ever could.
But as with text before, and video's current evolution, the digital intermedia
of tomorrow will require a gradual broadening of acceptance before it
approximates its potential.
Digital intermedia will combine the lucidity of the printed word, the immediacy
of sound, and the unique power and richness of moving images.
We can imagine that day will come, someday soon at at theatre near you (your
basement?).
After all the word imagination, is nothing without an image.
###
(c) Copyright 1995, Patrick Rafter. All rights reserved.
Patrick Rafter is Evangelist of the Multimedia Group, Data Translation
(Marlboro, MA). He was Director of Public Affairs for American Information
Exchange (Palo Alto, CA), as well as a manager at Aldus, CD Technology and
Bitstream.