#Autodesk Confirms NT 3ds
20-Jun-95 12:57:16
Sb: #175642-#Autodesk Confirms NT 3ds
Fm: Marion K. Marks 70700,2777
To: Bradley J. Artigue 75352,3716
Oh yes Microsoft has TOO "so much as stumbled!" Or have you forgotten
MS-DOS 4.0 already? Not to mention all and I do mean ALL versions of Windows
prior to Windows 3.0? Remember when Windows was considered "Microsoft's
attempted clone of GEM"?
And most of the other companies I mentioned had never stumbled much if any
prior to their big declines. Ashton-Tate was unquestioned king of the database
hill until dBase IV. IBM was where Microsoft is now up until a very few years
ago. Indeed, they are still a very powerful force to be reckoned with, or have
you forgotten the billion$ they still make off of their DB2 and mainframes and
"big iron" systems? This is revenue that they are funnelling into OS/2. Note
that it's IBM, not Microsoft, who is in the process of buying out Lotus,
another company who had never so much as stumbled until recently.
In this business, a company only has to "stumble" ONCE. If they "stumble"
badly enough and/or with very bad timing, then it may be their own headstone
they "stumbled" over, as in the case of Ashton-Tate. Sometimes, though,
companies that "stumble" manage to regain their feet and become king of the
hill once again, as in the case of Intel. If Zilog had had their Z-8001 16-bit
CPU ready when IBM came a-knockin' back in the early '80s when IBM was looking
for a CPU for their new Personal Computer, then the only place you would hear
about Intel these days would be in a "Whatever Happened to . . .?" column in
some computer magazine. But because Zilog dropped the ball they had picked up
from Intel earlier, and Intel was ready with their 8088, the rest is history,
and now Intel once again is king of the CPU market. The same could happen with
IBM. Or Intel could lose it yet again (note that Compaq, the largest
manufacturer of personal computers, has sworn to stop using all Intel chips in
their computers within two years).
Make no mistake: Microsoft is no more certain to be a major force ten or
even five years from now than any other company is. Who would have dared
predict five years ago that Borland would be on the verge of utter doom, that
Ashton-Tate would be gone, that Lotus would be swallowed up, etc.?
Autodesk should also take note of all of this. They may be king of the PC 3D
and CAD markets NOW, but they are no more immune than Lotus and Borland and
Ashton-Tate and Digital Research.
As for OS/2, the main reason IBM is buying out Lotus is to have major
popular applications (Notes and SmartSuite and the combination thereof) that
are specific OS/2 applications. This, combined with Microsoft's recent
backpedalling on Windows95 (it won't have the promised DCI that would have made
it king of multimedia, among many other things), may turn the tide. Or it may
not. The point is, Autodesk can easily HEDGE THEIR BETS by making it
compatible with BOTH OS/2 AND NT! There is no real reason not to. The APIs in
common cover everything that normal application software needs — only things
like disk utilities would need features not included in the common API. Last
time I checked, 3DS was not a disk utility.
The point here is that if this is done and anything happens to Microsoft or
Windows NT flops, 3DS still has OS/2 to run on. And vice-versa (I'll admit
that is a somewhat more likely scenario). Or if there really is room in the
market for two major operating systems and both are successful (which I feel is
more likely still), then 3DS is attractive to users of both.
A good many users of 3DS use OS/2 right now, because it is the ONLY
effective way to multitask 3DS Releases 3 and "4." 3DS will not run AT ALL
under Windows NT at present. Period. If you're using Windows NT, you must
REBOOT YOUR MACHINE and load MS-DOS if you want to use 3DS. If you then want to
use a 32-bit multithreaded paint program to touch up a material map, you must
REBOOT AGAIN to get back into Windows NT! (Of course, you COULD just use a
standard 16-bit Windows paint program, but then why have Windows NT in the
FIRST place if you're not going to USE it?) With OS/2 you can simply have both
3DS (complete with both a Render Slave and a Foreground Modelling task running
at the same time) and still have a Windows or OS/2 or even Win32s paint program
running and toggle between them easily — even while the Slave task is doing
rendering! Since OS/2 works so well for us now, why must we loyal 3DS users
buy yet ANOTHER operating system and have to install it and buy more RAM (NT
requires more than OS/2 just to run) and learn it, when 3DSr"5" can be made
compatible with both!?
Actually, there's an even better solution than the common API — TAOS!