No more Amiga Toasters?
12-Aug-95 00:31:39
Sb: #118781-No more Amiga Toasters?
Fm: J Saperstein/FontBank 75300,632
To: Frank Vanella 76527,723
I dunno, Frank. Everything any of us has to say on the subject is
speculation. None of us are able to predict the future (if only I had realized
that geeky little kid at that trade show would become Bill Gates or that the
guy asking me to invest would be writing 1-2-3. . . ).
What I look at is the market's momentum – and I really doubt that there's
much room for anything that doesn't conform to the Wintel standard – and maybe
with good reason.
You can buy a blowaway Pentium for under a couple of thousand these days.
Equip it properly and it will do just about anything you want. Take a look at
Apple and their absurd premium pricing on high end PowerPC's. Mine has been
primarily a Mac shop since 1984 – and I'm abandoning ship. The Mac,
particularly with the advent of Win95 and WinNT, simply no longer has any
advantage.
Sure, there's a lot of room for niche machines and we share the belief that
the Amiga could prosper there. But even a niche machine has to be supported and
I don't think the Amiga is going to find a first-rate support structure. Too
much water has flowed under the bridge, too many people had rent to pay and
have moved to other platforms.
Realistically speaking, with only an 8% market share, Apple itself is a niche
player and will probably occupy a smaller share yet within a couple of years.
(Some financial and market analysts are predicting a 6% market share in 1996
and 5% by 1997.)
The Amiga could well remain popular among the lower end video production and
kiosk market for several years to come, but I don't think its glory days are
over.
Jerry