#The real question is
19-Dec-94 23:48:59
Sb: #The real question is
Fm: J Saperstein/FontBank 75300,632
To: Eduard Joseph 74603,3262
"The OS is now in revision 3.1, there is over 10,000 applications
available, there is 5,000,000 machines out there. How much bigger
does it need to get before the market is established. There usually
is less than that before competition starts."
Your logic doesn't hang together too well. Very few of those 10,000
alleged applications are actively marketed – and very few are big
sellers.
5,000,000 machines – mostly older, slower and used for games –
doesn't make a market. It's people buying new software, new machines
and new peripherals that make a market. You can judge the extent of
the Amiga market just by trying to find a dealer near you – at least
in the US.
Finally, the specific kind of competition being spoken of here is
between the genuine AmigaOS running on an actual Amiga and a
maybe-it-be-developed clone. That's a big difference – and the
number of existing machines doesn't have much relevance.
The real question is where will both the dealers and the customers
for an Amiga clone come from? Who's got the money to develop and
support that market? What advantages would potential buyers
perceive?
If you look at the history of the Amiga marketplace, I think you'd have to
ask how a clone could expect to succeed where the original failed.
Jerry