RICHTER SCALE
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RICHTER SCALE OUTDATED
It's what you might call a scandal of the first magnitude: the Richter
scale, the venerated measure of earthquake size, has disappeared.
"There is no such thing as the Richter scale," Thomas Heaton, president of
the Seismological Society of America, says flatly.
Seismologists acknowledge there's still something warm and fuzzy about the
63-year-old Richter scale, a familiarity that gives earthquake survivors
something to cling to, a bloodless measure of the troubles they've seen.
The professionals, who largely abandoned Richter's specifics years ago, view
it differently.
"It's my impression that the Richter scale is something invented by the
press to mean the largest number available," said Kate Hutton, staff
seismologist at the California Institute of Technology.
By far the best-known measure of earthquake size, the Richter "served its
purpose very well for its original intended use," said Paul Richards, a
seismologist at Columbia University in New York City. "But it turns out it is
not based on well-defined physical principles."
The late Charles Richter, a seismologist at Cal Tech, devised his scale in
1931, basing it on the widest swing in the zig-zag line generated by a
seismograph's needle in a quake.
It worked well for years, assigning to small quakes magnitudes in the range
of 2 to 3 and to large quakes magnitudes up to 7 or 8, or higher.
After strong quakes, the public became accustomed to announcements of
definite numbers, followed by the solemn intonation "on the Richter scale."
Over the years, however, seismologists realized the scale had problems.
For one, it isn't very accurate for the biggest quakes, those in the range
of 8 or 9. Secondly, it's based on readings taken close to quakes, within 100
miles or so. That's fine in Southern California, where seismographs are as
common as sushi bars. But the scale is less precise in other parts of the
world, where the nearest seismograph may be nations away from the rumbling.
The Richter scale was calibrated on a now-obsolete model of seismograph.
Researchers have since devised new ways to rate the shaking.
"You can rank people by height, by intelligence, by beauty, by weight,"
Richards said. "And you can do the same thing with earthquakes."
Although the newer measures calculate magnitude in different ways, each is
adjusted to produce numbers similar to Richter's because those are so familiar.
Since the early 1980s, the most widely used measure has been moment
magnitude. It is based on the size of the fault on which an earthquake occurs
and the amount the earth slips. The bigger the fault and the larger the slip,
the higher the moment magnitude.
The Jan. 17 Northridge quake in Los Angeles had a moment magnitude of 6.7.
The Loma Prieta quake that rocked the San Francisco Bay area in 1989 had a
moment magnitude of 7.0.
In the first hours and days after a quake, any measurements are considered
preliminary. Figures pour in from a variety of seismographs and are averaged.
The numbers are refined as more data is collected.
Once aftershocks taper off, most seismologists settle on moment magnitude as
the most accurate measure.
But not at the U.S. Geological Survey's National Earthquake Information
Center in Golden, Colo. Seismologists there prefer surface-wave magnitude, an
analysis of seismic waves crackling around the Earth's surface.
Confusion arises because the center continues to call the measurement
Richter magnitude, resulting in seemingly conflicting numbers. When the Landers
earthquake struck the California desert in June 1992, for instance, the
Geological Survey's office in Pasadena, using moment magnitude, said the quake
had a magnitude of 7.3. The center in Golden, relying on surface waves, said it
measured 7.6.
The difference meant nothing to the quake's rattled survivors. By either
measure, it was huge. Why the concern?
Scientists care because they need precise measurements for research and
planning.
"The problem becomes really serious for bigger quakes," said Seismological
Society president Heaton, who is with the Geological Survey in Pasadena. "For
instance, the Alaska quake in 1964 has a surface-wave magnitude 8.3 or 8.4 and
a moment magnitude of 9.2.
"It's really our problem to try to get the National Earthquake Information
Center to try to release moment magnitudes instead of surface-wave magnitudes,"
Heaton added. "And we need to stop them from calling them Richter magnitudes."
Nonscientists don't need such precision — but they want it. People want to
know if the quake they just survived broke 7.0 or topped out at 6.9.
"People get upset, because they want to know the one number," Heaton said.
The Geological Survey understands the difficulty. What it lacks is a
solution.
"I don't think we've quite addressed it, is about the best way I can
characterize it," said Gail Wendt, assistant director of public affairs at
Survey headquarters in Reston, Va.
Across the country in Menlo Park, Calif., another spokeswoman, Pat
Jorgenson, is somewhat blunter. "I've been saying we ought to put out a press
release on this for five years, and my people in Reston haven't approved it,"
she said.
"The way we skate around it in our news releases is we say 'magnitude.' We
don't say 'on the Richter scale,' " Jorgenson explained to a reporter. "And
then we hope somebody like you doesn't call."
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REPORT CULLED FROM THE ASSOCIATED PRESS
It's about time a mainstream news agency finally reported this!
Jeffrey
Agreed!
Rick